Brexit has reached its endgame – and one very important phone call could be make or break

Politics

Saturday could be the most important day in Brexit since the UK’s formal exit from the EU at the end of January.

Significant gaps remain between the two sides in the negotiation over a post-Brexit trade deal.

Talks between the EU’s chief negotiator Michel Barnier and his UK counterpart David Frost have reached the end of the road.

EU chief negotiator Michel Barnier, wearing a protective face covering to combat the spread of the coronavirus, walks to a conference centre in central London on December 4, 2020 as talks continue on a trade deal between the EU and the UK. - With just a month until Britain's post-Brexit future begins and trade talks with the European Union still deadlocked, the UK government on Tuesday urged firms to prepare as it scrambles to finish essential infrastructure. (Photo by Tolga Akmen / AFP) (Photo by TOLGA AKMEN/AFP via Getty Images)
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EU chief negotiator Michel Barnier and Britain’s David Frost (below) said there were still ‘significant divergences’
Britain's chief Brexit negotiator David Frost walks to a conference centre in central London on December 2, 2020 as talks continue on a trade deal between the EU and the UK. - With just a month until Britain's post-Brexit future begins and trade talks with the European Union still deadlocked, the UK government on Tuesday urged firms to prepare as it scrambles to finish essential infrastructure. (Photo by JUSTIN TALLIS / AFP) (Photo by JUSTIN TALLIS/AFP via Getty Images)

There is now a “pause” and the entire process is being passed up to the two principals, Prime Minister Boris Johnson and European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen, to discuss in a telephone call on Saturday afternoon.

This could unlock the negotiation. It could also end it.

It is impossible to say which outcome it will be.

For days, the EU and the UK sides have been saying that the talks would always end in calls between Mr Johnson and Ms von der Leyen, so in one sense the announcement should not be a surprise.

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The EU is also more than aware of the need for Britain to have a choreographed win against them in the event of a deal.

Intriguingly, 36 hours ago, before the current impasse, both sides had been saying there were visible paths through some of the most intractable issues.

That doesn’t mean Friday’s dispute isn’t serious and tensions real.

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Brexit border delays: Why do they matter?

The current turmoil seems to have come after the UK suggested that on Thursday the EU suddenly returned to an old demand to stay aligned to some EU rules after 1 January, even if they change – a demand which would breach a key red line for the UK.

Some insiders in the UK government suggested on Friday that they are extremely pessimistic.

Brexit was never going to end with a whimper.

Mr Johnson himself was always going to have to play a major part in the drama. In either direction, there was always going to be turbulence.

That endgame process has now begun, with just days to go to decide the outcome.

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