Top scientists call for herd immunity approach – as government’s ‘soft touch’ criticised

UK

Senior politicians from four major northern councils have warned the government that existing coronavirus restrictions are “not working”, describing some as confusing and others as counterproductive.

Their intervention reflects growing divisions in politics and in the scientific community over how to tackle the growing number of infections.

The letter to Health Secretary Matt Hancock was signed by Leeds City Council leader Judith Blake, Manchester City Council leader Sir Richard Leese, Newcastle City Council leader Nick Forbes, and Liverpool mayor Joe Anderson.

The four centres are among the worst-affected areas as the pandemic worsens – the UK reported 14,542 new coronavirus cases on Tuesday, almost 2,000 more than the previous day. Hospital admissions in England also hit a four-month high.

In the letter, the four leaders said they were “extremely concerned” about the sharp increase and the “national responses”.

“The existing restrictions are not working, confusing for the public and some, like the 10pm (curfew) rule, are counter-productive,” they said.

Insisting they do not support further economic lockdowns, they instead called for additional powers to punish those who break rules and for any further restrictions to be developed by police, council, and public health experts.

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They also called for a locally-controlled test and trace system and financial support for those who needed to isolate with a payment that recognises additional needs in areas of deprivation.

“It is critical to the future of our local – and therefore the nation’s – economic wellbeing that we look to work together to deliver a joined up and effective response for our cities and the country in the coming days,” the letter said.

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Also mentioned was the need for improved support for businesses, something Liverpool’s mayor emphasised in an interview with Sky News.

Joe Anderson said: “When we had the national lockdown, we had a furlough scheme that was national.

“It seems to me to be common sense and also consistent that if we’re having a local lockdown that impacts on businesses, we should have a local scheme that supports those very businesses. Because otherwise they won’t come back.

“It’s alright the government talking about putting money into retraining packages but we’ve got to stop the jobs from being lost and that will then stop people needing training packages because we’ve prevented those jobs from going.”

He added: “I think the government are in a halfway house here. I don’t think they’ve done enough and they hope it will go away. The bottom line is you have to make a choice – there has to be stricter measures that actually bring the virus to a halt…and that’s why there has to be an economic package of support where that is happening.”

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Meanwhile, Professor John Edmunds, who sits on the scientific advisory group for emergencies (Sage), also criticised local measures and said new national restrictions were needed immediately.

Professor Edmunds said the government’s current “light touch” measures are just “delaying the inevitable”.

“We will at some point put very stringent measures in place because we will have to when hospitals start to really fill up,” he told the BBC. “Frankly, the better strategy is to put them in place now.”

However the views of scientists such as Professor Edmunds who support stricter measures are at odds with other academics.

A new declaration, signed by thousands of scientists including some from the universities of Oxford, Nottingham, Edinburgh, Exeter, Cambridge, Sussex and York calls for a herd immunity approach while protecting the most vulnerable populations.

The so-called Great Barrington declaration states: “The most compassionate approach that balances the risks and benefits of reaching herd immunity, is to allow those who are at minimal risk of death to live their lives normally to build up immunity to the virus through natural infection, while better protecting those who are at highest risk. We call this Focused Protection.”

The Conservative Party is also divided over the coronavirus rules: Fourteen Conservative backbenchers were joined by five DUP MPs in voting against the government over its “rule of six”, which limits social gatherings.They were outnumbered, but a bigger challenge is expected next week over the government’s 10pm curfew for pubs, bars, and restaurants, after MPs demanded more say over the emergency measures..

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